Factors Impacting Strike Selection with High Implied Volatility (IV) Stocks

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When using high implied volatility (IV) stocks and ETFs in our covered call and cash-secured put portfolios, there are tremendous opportunities to score significant returns, but with significant risks to the downside. We must be particularly focused on appropriate strike price selection to ensure maximum benefits while minimizing the associated risks.

 

Are we bullish or bearish on the overall market and what is our personal risk-tolerance?

If we have a favorable market outlook, we will prioritize slightly out-of-the-money (OTM) call and put strikes. These selections should align with our pre-stated initial time-value return goal range (2% – 4% monthly initial return goal range, for me). In strong bull markets, we may opt to use deeper OTM call strikes and allow for greater share price acceleration.

If the market direction is bearish, volatile or uncertain, we may consider in-the-money (ITM) call strikes and deep OTM puts.

 

Real-life covered call example with Shopify Inc. (Nasdaq: SHOP): 9/30/2025 – 10/24/2025

  • On 9/30/2025, SHOP was trading at $146.63
  • The at-the-money (ATM) IV = 46% (more than triple that of the S&P 500 at that time)
  • Call strikes:
    • The $149.00 call strike has a bid price of $6.00 (traditional)
    • The $126.00 deep ITM strike has a bid price of $22.00 (defensive)

 

Initial covered call calculations Using the BCI Trade Management Calculator (TMC)

SHOP Initial Calc

  • The initial 25-day returns for the traditional OTM call is 4.09%, 59.74% annualized (brown cells) with 1.62% of upside potential (Purple cell).
  • The initial 25-day returns for the defensive ITM call is 1.09%, 15.87% annualized (pink cells) with 14.07% of downside protection (of that time-value profit- blue cell).
  • When selling multiple contracts, we can sell some of each depending on if we were more bullish or bearish.

 

Real-life cash-secured put example with Shopify Inc. (Nasdaq: SHOP): 9/30/2025 – 10/24/2025

  • On 9/30/2025, SHOP was trading at $146.63
  • The at-the-money (ATM) IV = 46% (more than triple that of the S&P 500 at that time)
  • Put strikes:
    • The $142.00 put strike has a bid price of $3.85 (traditional)
    • The $130.00 deep OTM put strike has a bid price of $1.11 (defensive)

 

Initial cash-secured put calculations Using the BCI Trade Management Calculator (TMC)

SHOP CSP CALC 9 30 2025

  • The initial 25-day returns for the traditional OTM call is 2.79%, 40.69% annualized (brown cells) with 5.78% protection to breakeven (purple cell).
  • The initial 25-day returns for the defensive deep OTM call is 0.86%, 12.57% annualized (pink cells) with 12.10% protection to breakeven (blue cell).
  • When selling multiple contracts, we can sell some of each depending on if we were more bullish or bearish.

 

Discussion

High IV stocks and ETFs can be utilized in a defensive manner by focusing on strike selection. By combining overall market assessment, pre-stated initial time-value return goal range and personal risk tolerance, our trades can be crafted to maximize returns while also factoring in capital preservation. Of course, our exit strategy arsenal should always be available to mitigate losses and enhance gains.

 


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